Illegal and unethical actors dominate crypto markets
Money launderers, fraudsters, and manipulators are not edge cases - they're core participants.
Analysis
Unlike regulated markets, crypto's major players include:
Bad Actors:
- Money launderers moving billions
- Pump and dump coordinators
- Wash traders inflating volume
- Market manipulators spoofing order books
- Exchanges trading against customers
- Stablecoin issuers creating supply from nothing
Why It Matters:
- "Fair" price discovery doesn't exist
- Volume metrics are unreliable
- Large moves may be manipulation, not signal
- Counterparty risk is ever-present
Trading Implication:
Assume manipulation until proven otherwise. Filter for authentic signals. Don't trust reported metrics at face value.
This hypothesis is based on observable market structure and academic research. Trade accordingly.